{"id":4490,"date":"2025-08-02T06:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-08-02T09:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/staging.portaltela.com\/noticias\/2025\/08\/02\/copom-e-balancos-marcam-semana-de-incertezas-economicas-e-tarifas-de-trump\/"},"modified":"2025-08-02T06:00:00","modified_gmt":"2025-08-02T09:00:00","slug":"copom-e-balancos-marcam-semana-de-incertezas-economicas-e-tarifas-de-trump","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/18.210.195.80\/noticias\/economia\/2025\/08\/02\/copom-e-balancos-marcam-semana-de-incertezas-economicas-e-tarifas-de-trump\/","title":{"rendered":"Copom e balan\u00e7os marcam semana de incertezas econ\u00f4micas e tarifas de Trump"},"content":{"rendered":"

O Comit\u00ea de Pol\u00edtica Monet\u00e1ria (Copom)<\/strong> decidiu manter a Selic em 15%<\/strong>, conforme esperado pelo mercado. O comunicado p\u00f3s-reuni\u00e3o enfatizou uma postura cautelosa, sem previs\u00e3o de cortes at\u00e9 2026. A XP projeta que o ciclo de redu\u00e7\u00e3o da taxa de juros s\u00f3 deve iniciar em janeiro de 2026, com cinco cortes consecutivos de 0,50 ponto percentual, encerrando o ano com a Selic em 12,50%<\/strong>. Essa decis\u00e3o reflete a vigil\u00e2ncia do Banco Central frente a riscos fiscais e inflacion\u00e1rios.<\/p>\n

Ajuste Fiscal e Arrecada\u00e7\u00e3o<\/h3>\n

O governo federal mant\u00e9m a expectativa de arrecadar R$ 11,5 bilh\u00f5es<\/strong> com o IOF<\/strong> em 2025, mas especialistas alertam que esse valor n\u00e3o ser\u00e1 suficiente para atingir a meta de resultado prim\u00e1rio nos pr\u00f3ximos anos. O economista Tiago Sbardelotto destaca que, apesar do refor\u00e7o na arrecada\u00e7\u00e3o, outras medidas ainda precisam ser aprovadas no Congresso para garantir um ajuste fiscal efetivo.<\/p>\n

Impacto das Tarifas dos EUA<\/h3>\n

Al\u00e9m disso, as tarifas de 50%<\/strong> impostas pelos Estados Unidos sobre parte das exporta\u00e7\u00f5es brasileiras, a partir de agosto, podem afetar negativamente o PIB e a infla\u00e7\u00e3o. Embora cerca de 42%<\/strong> dos produtos tenham sido exclu\u00eddos da taxa\u00e7\u00e3o, itens manufaturados ser\u00e3o os mais impactados. A XP estima que as exporta\u00e7\u00f5es brasileiras em 2025 ser\u00e3o R$ 3,5 bilh\u00f5es<\/strong> menores, o que pode gerar um desvio significativo no com\u00e9rcio.<\/p>\n

Cen\u00e1rio Empresarial<\/h3>\n

No cen\u00e1rio corporativo, a temporada de resultados come\u00e7ou com n\u00fameros positivos para empresas brasileiras, como AmBev e Bradesco, que apresentaram crescimento em receitas e lucros. Nos Estados Unidos, gigantes como Meta e Microsoft tamb\u00e9m reportaram desempenhos s\u00f3lidos, refletindo a resili\u00eancia do setor de tecnologia. O mercado aguarda os resultados de outras empresas relevantes nas pr\u00f3ximas semanas.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    \n
  • O Comit\u00ea de Pol\u00edtica Monet\u00e1ria (Copom) decidiu manter a Selic em 15%, sem previs\u00e3o de cortes at\u00e9 2026.<\/li>\n
  • A XP projeta que a redu\u00e7\u00e3o da taxa de juros deve come\u00e7ar em janeiro de 2026, com cinco cortes consecutivos, encerrando o ano com a Selic em 12,50%.<\/li>\n
  • O governo federal espera arrecadar R$ 11,5 bilh\u00f5es com o Imposto sobre Opera\u00e7\u00f5es Financeiras (IOF) em 2025, mas isso n\u00e3o ser\u00e1 suficiente para atingir a meta fiscal.<\/li>\n
  • Tarifas de 50% impostas pelos Estados Unidos sobre parte das exporta\u00e7\u00f5es brasileiras podem impactar negativamente o PIB e a infla\u00e7\u00e3o, com uma estimativa de redu\u00e7\u00e3o de R$ 3,5 bilh\u00f5es nas exporta\u00e7\u00f5es em 2025.<\/li>\n
  • A temporada de resultados das empresas brasileiras come\u00e7ou com n\u00fameros positivos, destacando o crescimento de AmBev e Bradesco.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":4503,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"summary":"Copom mant\u00e9m Selic em 15% e prev\u00ea cortes apenas em 2026; tarifas dos EUA podem reduzir exporta\u00e7\u00f5es em R$ 3,5 bilh\u00f5es em 2025","footnotes":""},"categories":[41,1],"tags":[141,94,90,91,98,125],"class_list":["post-4490","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia","category-noticias","tag-congresso","tag-economia","tag-geopolitica","tag-governo","tag-pesquisa","tag-relacoes-internacionais"],"yoast_head":"\nCopom e balan\u00e7os marcam semana de incertezas econ\u00f4micas e tarifas de Trump - Portal Tela (STAGING)<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Copom e balan\u00e7os marcam semana de incertezas econ\u00f4micas e tarifas de Trump\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"O Comit\u00ea de Pol\u00edtica Monet\u00e1ria (Copom) decidiu manter a Selic em 15%, sem previs\u00e3o de cortes at\u00e9 2026. 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